Disturbed Intelligence Analysts Express Concern Over Trump’s ‘Wag the Dog’ Syria Moment

Robert Parry of Consortium News has become an invaluable news source for me over the past several months. In case you are unfamiliar with his work, Robert is an investigative reporter who broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and Newsweek in the 1980s. He writes extensively on politics and geopolitics. His latest piece, Trump’s ‘Wag the Dog’ Moment, is a must read.

Much of the post focuses on the ridiculous notion that Assad would have intentionally gassed his own people at the exact moment he was most secure in his position after years of brutal internal conflict. He notes:

Trump immediately won plaudits from Official Washington, especially from neoconservatives who have been trying to wrestle control of his foreign policy away from his nationalist and personal advisers since the days after his surprise victory on Nov. 8.

There is also an internal dispute over the intelligence. On Thursday night, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said the U.S. intelligence community assessed with a “high degree of confidence” that the Syrian government had dropped a poison gas bomb on civilians in Idlib province.

But a number of intelligence sources have made contradictory assessments, saying the preponderance of evidence suggests that Al Qaeda-affiliated rebels were at fault, either by orchestrating an intentional release of a chemical agent as a provocation or by possessing containers of poison gas that ruptured during a conventional bombing raid.

The above is far more likely to be accurate than the fairytale narrative being spun by the corporate media and Washington officialdom.

One intelligence source told me that the most likely scenario was a staged event by the rebels intended to force Trump to reverse a policy, announced only days earlier, that the U.S. government would no longer seek “regime change” in Syria and would focus on attacking the common enemy, Islamic terror groups that represent the core of the rebel forces.

Though Bannon and Kushner are often presented as rivals, the source said, they shared the belief that Trump should tell the truth about Syria, revealing the Obama administration’s CIA analysis that a fatal sarin gas attack in 2013 was a “false-flag” operation intended to sucker President Obama into fully joining the Syrian war on the side of the rebels — and the intelligence analysts’ similar beliefs about Tuesday’s incident.

Instead, Trump went along with the idea of embracing the initial rush to judgment blaming Assad for the Idlib poison-gas event. The source added that Trump saw Thursday night’s missile assault as a way to change the conversation in Washington, where his administration has been under fierce attack from Democrats claiming that his election resulted from a Russian covert operation.

If changing the narrative was Trump’s goal, it achieved some initial success with several of Trump’s fiercest neocon critics, such as neocon Senators John McCain and Lindsey Graham, praising the missile strike, as did Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The neocons and Israel have long sought “regime change” in Damascus even if the ouster of Assad might lead to a victory by Islamic extremists associated with Al Qaeda and/or the Islamic State.

Now for a little history…

Trump’s advisers, in briefing the press on Thursday night, went to great lengths to highlight Trump’s compassion toward the victims of the poison gas and his decisiveness in bombing Assad’s military in contrast to Obama’s willingness to allow the intelligence community to conduct a serious review of the evidence surrounding the 2013 sarin-gas case.

Ultimately, Obama listened to his intelligence advisers who told him there was no “slam-dunk” evidence implicating Assad’s regime and he pulled back from a military strike at the last minute – while publicly maintaining the fiction that the U.S. government was certain of Assad’s guilt.

In both cases – 2013 and 2017 – there were strong reasons to doubt Assad’s responsibility. In 2013, he had just invited United Nations inspectors into Syria to investigate cases of alleged rebel use of chemical weapons and thus it made no sense that he would launch a sarin attack in the Damascus suburbs, guaranteeing that the U.N. inspectors would be diverted to that case.

Similarly, now, Assad’s military has gained a decisive advantage over the rebels and he had just scored a major diplomatic victory with the Trump administration’s announcement that the U.S. was no longer seeking “regime change” in Syria. The savvy Assad would know that a chemical weapon attack now would likely result in U.S. retaliation and jeopardize the gains that his military has achieved with Russian and Iranian help.

The counter-argument to this logic – made by The New York Times and other neocon-oriented news outlets – essentially maintains that Assad is a crazed barbarian who was testing out his newfound position of strength by baiting President Trump. Of course, if that were the case, it would have made sense that Assad would have boasted of his act, rather than deny it.

But logic and respect for facts no longer prevail inside Official Washington, nor inside the mainstream U.S. news media.

While all of the above is interesting, the following paragraphs are hugely important, if accurate.

Alarm within the U.S. intelligence community about Trump’s hasty decision to attack Syria reverberated from the Middle East back to Washington, where former CIA officer Philip Giraldi reported hearing from his intelligence contacts in the field that they were shocked at how the new poison-gas story was being distorted by Trump and the mainstream U.S. news media.

Giraldi told Scott Horton’s Webcast: “I’m hearing from sources on the ground in the Middle East, people who are intimately familiar with the intelligence that is available who are saying that the essential narrative that we’re all hearing about the Syrian government or the Russians using chemical weapons on innocent civilians is a sham.”

Giraldi said his sources were more in line with an analysis postulating an accidental release of the poison gas after an Al Qaeda arms depot was hit by a Russian airstrike.

“The intelligence confirms pretty much the account that the Russians have been giving … which is that they hit a warehouse where the rebels – now these are rebels that are, of course, connected with Al Qaeda – where the rebels were storing chemicals of their own and it basically caused an explosion that resulted in the casualties. Apparently the intelligence on this is very clear.”

Giraldi said the anger within the intelligence community over the distortion of intelligence to justify Trump’s military retaliation was so great that some covert officers were considering going public.

If this is right, we need whistleblowers to come out immediately and tell the world. We cannot allow another huge war based on lies to get going in earnest.

“People in both the agency [the CIA] and in the military who are aware of the intelligence are freaking out about this because essentially Trump completely misrepresented what he already should have known – but maybe he didn’t – and they’re afraid that this is moving toward a situation that could easily turn into an armed conflict,” Giraldi said before Thursday night’s missile strike. “They are astonished by how this is being played by the administration and by the U.S. media.”

Now on the compromised corporate media..

The mainstream U.S. media has presented the current crisis with the same profound neocon bias that has infected the coverage of Syria and the larger Middle East for decades. For instance, The New York Times on Friday published a lead story by Michael R. Gordon and Michael D. Shear that treated the Syrian government’s responsibility for the poison-gas incident as flat-fact. The lengthy story did not even deign to include the denials from Syria and Russia that they were responsible for any intentional deployment of poison gas.

Gordon, whose service to the neocon cause is notorious, was the lead author with Judith Miller of the Times’ bogus “aluminum tube” story in 2002 which falsely claimed that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein was reconstituting a nuclear-weapons program, an article that was then cited by President George W. Bush’s aides as a key argument for invading Iraq in 2003.

You simply can’t make this up. The same liars who pushed the last major disaster are at it again.

And why not? As Mark Ames noted yesterday.

Pushing for wars based on fake narratives is both lucrative and great for one’s career in corporate journalism, which is precisely why you see so much of it now. Incentives rule the world.

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In Liberty,
Michael Krieger

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6 thoughts on “Disturbed Intelligence Analysts Express Concern Over Trump’s ‘Wag the Dog’ Syria Moment”

  1. Although I’m still holding out hope that the non-existent airport damage and the non-importance of the airport are indications that Trump was just putting on an idiotic show that is of no long-term importance.
    What I think is scary is the 72-hours from about-face to missile launch. He’s making Bush43 look like a statesman, pushing Powell to show vials and lie. My best guess is that if Trump wanted to get away with a strike, he needed to be quick.
    From the breaking of the “gas attack”, there were doubts about its veracity. Now, one day after the strike, we’re all sure that it was bullshit, and there’s ample conjecture and proof, just from the Internet.
    That means that the interested public can call bullshit within hours. That’s dangerous for any politician. If they have no information advantage over the public, politicians cannot hoodwink us. With social media, people can actually impinge upon trump’s public “face”.
    Many Trump supporters, particularly millennials, who studied wikileaks, were able to suss this out. If so, Trump is in trouble.
    I’m still hoping that this is a one-off strike, and more of his superficial bullshit. But others will not be so understanding. They’ll think he’s gone full retard neocon.

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  2. great article, i agree, assad IS NOT the enemy, these LIES are, The truth is always the first casualty of war. There does not have to be a war though. war for profit is OBSCENE. the public has seen this enough to catch on this time and stop this insanity.

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  3. I don’t think the gas attack even happened. In what little sporadic video clips I’ve seen it looks completely staged. All of the supposed “victims” color looks perfectly normal, and the medical personnel attending to them aren’t even wearing gloves, much less any other protective gear.

    If sarin gas was used as claimed you wouldn’t get near the victims without wearing gloves and breathing apparatus. And the victims would already be dead.

    It’s as if they are purposefully pushing the boundaries of believability just to see how much they can get away with.

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  4. I would suggest reading over on the UN Security Council’s members’ statement summaries on the events and the follow-up US missile attack (http://www.un.org/en/sc/meetings/). They are very informative.

    I will note that while the Russian Ambassodor could be lying through his teeth, his statements *never* assign blame (nor absolve anyone) for the attack. His statements were also the longest and most passionate (watch the video), and had several good logical points. These are the words/actions of someone looking to persuade. In contrast, the purpose of the US and UK statements seemed to be to antagonize Russia (you should watch the video, as the summary doesn’t do justice to UK Ambassodor Rykroft’s insults, keepign in mind how important pride is for Russians).

    Also noteworthy: watching the April 7 video, I thought that one of the most significant statements was from Sweden. Unlike the US, the UK, France, Italy, and the Ukraine, they did not use the phrase “proportionate response/action” in describing the US missile attacks. Instead Ambassoadro Skoog said that the US “may not have acted in accordance with international law.” Even more noteworthy: there is **nothing** in the offical UN meeting records mentioning this dissension. Anyone reading it would assume that they – like all their EU counterparts – thought that the US attack was 100% justified.

    As for Genaro’s comment, I’m glad that we have a chemical warware expert in our midst. He should write up his finding and send them to Syria, Russia, and the US, who are all mis-informed.

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  5. Been reading Robert Parry since the Iraq War. I feel sorry for the guy, really. He’s been shouting in the wind for probably over 20 years but no one fking listens.

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